BUSINESS

Sunday, November 29, 2015

INTERNATIONAL TRADE FOR INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT IN MYANAMR 11/2015



International Trade for Industrial Development

         

  "Trade began the exchange of food, raw materials and handicrafts among primitive peoples. It may occur within a given community (internal trade) or between members of different communities (external or foreign trade)". Trade is an important stimulator of economic growth. It enlarges a country's consumption capacities, increase world output and provide access to scarce resource and worldwide markets for products without which poor countries would be unable to grow. Trade is the transfer of ownership of goods and services from one person to another.
Trade tends to promote greater international and domestic equality by equalizing factor prices, raising real incomes of trading countries and making efficient use of each nation's and world resource endowment. Trade helps countries achieve development by promoting and rewarding the sectors of the economy where individual countries possess a comparative advantage, whether in terms of labor efficiency or factor endowment. It also lets them take advantage of economies of how much a country should trade in order to maximize its national welfare. Trade between two traders is  called bilateral trade, while trade between more than two traders is called multilateral trade.
Trade exists for man due to specialization and division of labor, most people concentrate and a small aspect of production, trading for other products. Trade exists between regions because different regions have a comparative advantage in the production of some tradable commodities or because different regions' size allows for the benefits of mass production. As such, trade at market prices between locations benefits both locations.
Trade refers to the phenomenon of transactions and exchange is a basic component of human activity throughout the world. According to traditional trade theory, if each nation specializes in the production of the commodity of its comparative advantage, world output will be greater and through trade, each nation will share in the gain. Among the trade activities Border Trade is the foremost activities of the country.
Border trade, in general, refers to the flow of goods and services across the international borders between jurisdictions. In this sense, it is a part of normal legal trade that flows through standard export/import frameworks of nations. However, border trade specifically refers to the increase in trade in areas where crossing borders is relatively easy and where products are significantly cheaper in one place than another, often because of significant variations in taxation levels on goods such as alcohol and tobacco. As well as border trade across land or sea borders, air travel with a low-cost carrier can be worthwhile for a short international trip to the same high-value goods. Where border trade is done for tax evasion it forms part of the underground economy of both jurisdictions. Cross border trade means the buying and selling of goods and services between businesses in neighboring countries, with the seller being in one country and the buyer in the other country.


International Trade

International trade is the exchange of capital, goods, and services across international borders of territories. In most countries, such trade represents a part of gross domestic product (GDP). International trade is not different from domestic trade as the motivation and behavior of parties involved in a trade do not change fundamentally regardless of whether trade is across a border or not. The main difference is that international trade is typically more costly than domestic trade. The reason is that a border imposes additional coast such as tariff, times cost due to border delays and costs such as those associated with country differences such as language, the legal system or culture. Trade is the part of an essential tool to development a country's economy.
The occurrence of transactions and exchange is a basic component of human activity throughout the world. People regularly meet in the marketplace to exchange goods, money or for other goods through simple barter transactions. A transaction is an exchange of two things-something is given up in return for something else.
Different people have different abilities and resources and may want to consume goods in different proportions. People usually find it profitable to trade the things they possess in large quantities relative to their tastes or needs in return for things they want more urgently. They usually finds it profitable to engage in the activities for which they are best suited or have a comparative advantage of their natural abilities or resource endowments. They exchange any surplus of these home-produced commodities for product that others may be relatively more suited to produce. The results of specialization based on comparative advantage have long been applied by economists to exchange of goods between nations.

Adam Smith explained the international differences in costs of production and price of different products. Countries specialize in a limited range of production activities for their advantage. They specialize in activities where the gains from specialization are larges. The concept of relative cost and price differences is basic to the theory of international trade. The principle of comparative advantage asserts that country will specialize in the export of the products that it can produce at the lowest relative cost.
The neoclassical comparative advantage theory of free trade is a static model based strictly on a one-variable factor, complete-specialization approach to demonstrating the gains from trade. The Hecksher-Ohlin neoclassical factor endowment trade theory also enables us to describe analytically the impact of economic growth on trade patterns and the impact of trade on the structure of national economics and on the differential returns on payments to various factors of production.
If domestic factor prices were the same, all countries would use identical methods of production and would have the same relative domestic product price ratios and factor productivities. The basis for trade arises not because of inherent technological differences in
Labor  productivity for different commodities between different countries but because countries are endowed with different factor supplies. Given factor endowments relative factor prices will differ and so will domestic commodity price ratios and factor combinations. Countries with cheap labor will have a relative coast and price advantage over countries with relatively expensive labor in commodities that make intensive use of labor. Therefore they should focus on the production of these labor-intensive and export the surplus in return for imports of capital-intensive goods.
On the other hand, countries well endowed with capital with have a relative cost and price advantage in the production of manufactured goods, which tend to required relatively larger inputs of capital compared with labor. Thus, trade serves as a vehicle for nations to capitalize on its abundant resources through more intensive production and export of commodities that require larger inputs of those resources while relieving its shortage of other resources.
The factor endowment theory is based on two crucial propositions:
(1)   Different products require productive factors in different relative propositions.
(2)   Countries have different endowments of factors of production. Some countries have little capital and much labor and are designated labor-abundant countries.
The neoclassical factor endowment theory makes the important prediction that international real wage rates and capital costs will gradually tend toward equalization. Within countries, the factor endowment theory predicts that the economic returns to owners of the abundant resources. Finally, by enabling countries to move outside their production possibility frontiers and secure capital as well as consumption goods from other parts of the world, trade is assumed to stimulate economic growth. Trade also enables a nation to obtain the domestically expensive raw materials and other products. Thus, it can create the conditions for a more broadly based and self sustaining growth of its industrial output.
International Trade Policy
A tariff, the simplest of trade policies, is a tax levied when a good is imported. Specific tariffs are levied as a fixed charge for each unit of goods imported. The effect of the tariff is to raise the cost of shipping goods to a country. The important of tariffs has declined in modern times, because modern governments usually prefer to protect domestic industries through a variety of nontariff barriers, such as import quotas and export restraints.
A tariff raises the price of a good in the importing country and lowers it in the exporting country. Therefore, as a result these price changes, consumers lose in the importing country and gain in the exporting country. Producers gain in the importing country and lose in the exporting country and lose in the exporting country. In addition, the government imposing the tariff gains revenue. To compare these costs and benefits, it is necessary to quantity them.

                                                                   
The method for measuring costs and benefits of a tariff depends on the two concepts common to much microeconomic analysis: consumer and producer surplus.
Consumer surplus measure the amount a consumer gains from a purchase by the difference between the price the consumer actually pays and the price the consumer would have been willing to pay. Producer surplus is an analogous concept. In the modern world most government intervention in international trade takes other forms, such as export subsidies, import quotas. An export subsidy is a payment to a firm or individual that ships a good abroad. When the government offers an export subsidy, the shippers will export the good up to the point where the domestic price exceeds the foreign price by the amount of the subsidy.
An import quotes is the direct restriction on the quantity of some good that may be imported. The restriction is usually enforced by issuing licenses to some group of individuals or firms. A variant on the import quota is the voluntary export restraint (VER), also known as a voluntary restraint agreement (VAR). A VER is a quota on trade imposed from the exporting country side instead of the importer's.
There are many other ways in which governments influence trade. They are:
(1)   Export credit subsidies which like are export subsidies except that it takes the form of a subsidized loan to the buyer.
(2)   National procurement is the purchases by the government or strongly regulated firms which can be directed toward domestically produced goods even when these goods are more expensive than imports.
(3)   Red-tape barriers mean sometimes a government wants to restrict import without doing so formally.
Free trade
"Few countries have anything approaching completely free trade. The efficient case form free trade is simply the reserve of the cost-benefit analysis of a tariff. The additional gain from free trade is the economies of scale. Free trade offers more opportunities for learning and innovation than are provided by a system of "managed" trade, where the government largely dictates the pattern of imports and exports. A political argument for free trade reflects the fact that a political commitment to free trade may be a good idea in practice even though there may be better policies in principle


Brief Review of Trade Theories
The Mercantilists' Views on Trade
Mercantilism is development from an economic at the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. The mercantilists maintained that the way for a nation to become rich and powerful was to export more than it imported. The export surplus would be settled by an inflow of bullion, precious metals, gold and silver. The more gold and silver a nation had the richer and more powerful it was. Thus, the government had to do all on its power to stimulate the nation's exports and discourage and restrict imports. The mercantilists measured the wealth of a nation by the stock of precious metals, gold and silver. The   mercantilists' desire for the accumulation of precious metal. With more gold, rulers could maintain larger and better armies and consolidate their power and improved armies and improved armies and navies also made to acquire more colonies.
Absolute Advantage
The theory of absolute advantage was developed by Adam Smith. According to Adam Smith, trade between two nations is based on absolute advantage. When   one nation is more efficient than another nation in the production of another good. But nations can gain by each specializing in the production of the commodity of its absolute advantage and exchanging part of its output with the other nation for the goods of its absolute advantage. By this way, resources are utilized in the most efficient manner between the two nations. Through trade, total output and welfare of all individuals are maximized. Adam Smith believed that all nations would gain from free trade and strongly advocated a policy of laissez-faire. Free trade would cause world resources to be utilized most efficiently and would maximize world welfare.
Comparative Advantage
The law of comparative advantage was developed by David Ricardo, if one nation is less efficient than the other nation in the production of the both commodities, there is still a basic for mutually beneficial trade. The first nation should specialize in the production of and export the commodity in which its absolute disadvantage is smaller and import the commodity in which its absolute disadvantage is greater. Therefore, one nation's absolute advantage is greater in one commodity. The other nation's absolute disadvantage is smaller in the other commodity, so its comparative advantage lies in other commodity. According to the law of comparative advantage, both nations can gain when the one nation specializes in the production of one commodity and exports some of it in exchange for other nation's commodity. So, one nation has a comparative advantage in the other good. Thus, in a two nation of two commodity world, it is determined that one nation has a comparative advantage in one commodity and the other nation must necessarily have a comparative advantage in the other commodity.

                                                
Border Trade in Myanmar and Its Neighboring Countries
Border trade is defined as the trade between the people of two countries resided adjacently selling their commodities and purchasing their required items produced locally by using either currencies of the countries or hard currencies for local consumption. The trade between the businessmen of two neighboring countries conducts across border by using either currency permitted by the governments of hard currencies, for commercial purpose according to the practice of international trade.

The border trade of Myanmar with its neighbors had originated since hist
orical time by the people resided in the border areas traditionally traded their commodities one another and which has eventually expanded to the level not only for the purpose of exchanging goods for those in the border regions but also for use of the people in both countries as a whole.
There are five countries bordering Myanmar with twelve border trade points that include Myawaddy on the Thai border and Muse on the China border. Among the five bordering countries only Thailand and China are involved in the Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) where Myanmar is a member country. The border areas with China include the province of Yunnan and Guangxi which are land-locked and the route to external trade happens to the Myanmar border. Therefore, Myanmar lies in strong strategic position especially for these land-locked provinces of China.
Myanmar is mainly an exported of agricultural and other primary products while its import consists largely of manufactured goods. The main exportable products are agricultural products, animal's products, fishery products, minerals, forest products, finished goods and others and the main import products are capital goods, intermediated goods and consumer goods. Myanmar's export to China mostly wood, gemstones and fruit and nuts and import  iron, steel, construction materials, machine and machine tools, fertilizer, raw materials and household utensils.
Myanmar's mainly export commodities to Thailand are maize, fish, and forest products and import commodities are mineral, fertilizers and tires during 2007-2008 to 2011-2012. Likely, Myanmar's major import from India are agricultural products, primary and semi-finished iron and steel, pharmaceuticals while exports consist of pulses and beans, wood and wood products. The major export commodities from Myanmar to Bangladesh are marine products, beans and pulses, and kitchen crops and import commodities from Bangladesh are pharmaceuticals, ceramic, cotton fabric, raw jute, kitchenware, and corm





                       TheTOTAL  VOLUME  of  INTERNATIONAL  Trade in Myanmar                                                
TabLe 8.2                                                                                                         (Million US Dollar)
Year
Export
Import
Trade deficit
2005-2006
3557.21
1984.41
-1572.8
2006-2007
5232.68
2939.73
-2295.95
2007-2008
6401.70
335.42
-3047.99
2008-2009
6778.85
4543.45
-2235.4
2009-2010
7586.94
4181.40
-3405.54
2010-2011
8861.01
6412.73
-2448.28
2011-2012
9097.00
9053.78
-43.22
2012-2013
8977.00
9068.9
91.5
2013-2014
11204.00
13759.5
255.5
2014-2015
12523.7
16633.2
4109.5
2015-2016
12900.00
17000.00
4100.00




SOURCES-WEEKLY  ELEVEN JOURNAL ON 12-10-2015  PAGE-5

TOTAL   Volume OF      INTERNATIONAL  TRADE

Myanmar   international  trade  or  import  or   export    have  been  increasing     year  by  year    in   table 8.2the  volume   increased  from     2005   -2006   to   2015.the  total   volume  of   f   export       were  higher   than   that  of     import    from   2005  to    2010   but     the  total  volume  of  import    were   higher  than  that of   export    from  2011-12  to  2015-2016.  In  others  words   ,  Myanmar   had  surplus  in  international  trade   from 2005  to   2010   but  Myanmar    international  trade   has  trade   deficit    from    2001     to   2015      .the  lowest    volume    of  total    export      is  35557.21  million   dollars     in   2005  -2006   and    the  highest    volume    of  total    export     is    12900.00  million  dollars  in  2015 -2016.-11. Surplus   in   international   trade   from 2005   to   2010   but  Myanmar    international
trade   has  trade   deficit    from    2001     to   2015      .the  lowest    volume    of  total    export      is  35557.21  million   dollars     in   2005  -2006   and    the  highest    volume    of  total    export     is    12900.00  million  dollars  in  2015 -2016.-11.

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